docs: Decision Model v1.0 — Evidence-backed decisions + explainability + validation scenarios

- Six layers (added Evidence between Observation and Finding):
  1. Reality
  2. Observation
  3. Evidence (linked observations with context)
  4. Finding
  5. Decision
  6. Business Impact

- Decision Object restructured:
  1. Decision — what should user decide?
  2. Why — why system recommends this
  3. Evidence — what observations support this
  4. Confidence — how certain (3 dimensions)
  5. Consequence — what if nothing done
  6. Action — next step
  7. Business Impact — economic/operational meaning

- Confidence Model (3 dimensions):
  - Observation Confidence: how certain is detection?
  - Evidence Strength: how strongly supported?
  - Recommendation Confidence: how certain is recommendation?

- Explainability Principle:
  - Every Decision Card must be explorable
  - User can click: Decision → Finding → Evidence → Observations → Reality
  - Competitive advantage: traceability to source material

- Business Impact Model (4 dimensions):
  - Risk, Cost, Time, Opportunity

- Three validation scenarios:
  1. Road Crack — simple, common
  2. Damaged Facade — complex, critical
  3. Broken Road Sign — simple, regulatory

- Pass criteria: Same Decision Object works for all three

Rationale: Decision Intelligence, not BI. Evidence-backed decisions
are the core product. Explainability is competitive advantage.
Validation against real scenarios before freezing.
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# DECISION MODEL v1.0
**The Core Product of Landvex**
| | |
|---|---|
| **Version** | 1.0 |
| **Status** | DRAFT |
| **Scope** | All Landvex decisions, dashboards, reports, APIs |
---
## The Six Layers
```
Layer 1: Reality
(sensors, mobile, video, GIS, drones)
Layer 2: Observation
("crack detected", "road surface degraded")
Layer 3: Evidence
(linked observations with context)
Layer 4: Finding
("area has deteriorated since last inspection")
Layer 5: Decision
("prioritize inspection within 14 days")
Layer 6: Business Impact
("risk reduced", "cost avoided", "revenue created")
```
---
## Layer 1: Reality
**Input sources:**
- Mobile phones (quiXzoom)
- Drones
- Fixed cameras
- Sensors
- GIS data
- Satellite imagery
**Principle:** Reality is the only source of truth.
---
## Layer 2: Observation
**Definition:** A single recorded fact from reality.
**Example:**
```
Observation:
- Type: "crack"
- Location: [lat, lng]
- Timestamp: 2026-07-02T10:00:00Z
- Source: quiXzoom mobile
- Media: [photo_url, video_url]
- Observation Confidence: 0.94
```
---
## Layer 3: Evidence
**Definition:** Linked observations with context, forming a body of proof.
**Example:**
```
Evidence:
- Description: "Multiple cracks observed in Sector 7"
- Observations: [observation_1, observation_2, observation_3]
- Evidence Strength: 0.91
- Consistency: "All observations confirm degradation"
- Time Span: "2026-06-15 to 2026-07-02"
```
## Layer 4: Finding
**Definition:** A pattern or conclusion derived from evidence.
**Example:**
```
Finding:
- Description: "Road surface has degraded 15% since last inspection"
- Area: "Nacka Municipality, Sector 7"
- Evidence: [evidence_1, evidence_2]
- Finding Confidence: 0.87
- Trend: "deteriorating"
```
---
## Layer 5: Decision
**Definition:** An evidence-backed recommended action.
### Decision Object
Every decision must contain:
| # | Field | Description | Example |
|---|-------|-------------|---------|
| 1 | **Decision** | What should the user decide? | "Prioritize inspection" |
| 2 | **Why** | Why does the system recommend this? | "Road surface degraded 15%" |
| 3 | **Evidence** | What observations support this? | [evidence_1, evidence_2] |
| 4 | **Confidence** | How certain is the model? | See Confidence Model below |
| 5 | **Consequence** | What happens if nothing is done? | "Risk of accident increases" |
| 6 | **Action** | What is the next step? | "Schedule inspection" |
| 7 | **Business Impact** | What does this mean economically/operationally? | See Business Impact Model below |
### Confidence Model
| Dimension | Description | Example |
|-----------|-------------|---------|
| **Observation Confidence** | How certain is the detection? | "94% — clear visual evidence" |
| **Evidence Strength** | How strongly does evidence support the conclusion? | "91% — three consistent observations" |
| **Recommendation Confidence** | How certain is the recommendation? | "87% — historical data supports this action" |
### Explainability
**Every Decision Card must be explorable:**
```
Decision
↓ (click)
Finding
↓ (click)
Evidence
↓ (click)
Observations
↓ (click)
Reality
```
The user must be able to click all the way back to source material.
---
## Layer 6: Business Impact
**Definition:** The measurable effect of the decision on the business.
| Type | Metric | Example |
|------|--------|---------|
| **Risk** | Probability × Severity | "High — accident risk 12% → 3%" |
| **Cost** | Currency | "$50,000 in emergency repairs avoided" |
| **Time** | Duration | "Action required within 14 days" |
| **Opportunity** | Business value | "Plan maintenance with nearby works" |
---
## Decision Card
**Visual representation:**
```
┌─────────────────────────────────────┐
│ Area Score: 87 │
│ ▼ │
│ │
│ 3 Important Decisions │
│ ┌─────────────────────────────────┐ │
│ │ ⚠️ Road surface degraded │ │
│ │ Confidence: 87% │ │
│ │ Priority: High │ │
│ │ Recommend: Inspect in 14d │ │
│ │ If ignored: Safety risk ↑ │ │
│ │ Next step: Schedule now │ │
│ │ Evidence: 12 observations │ │
│ └─────────────────────────────────┘ │
│ │
│ Map │
│ │
│ Evidence │
│ │
│ History │
└─────────────────────────────────────┘
```
---
## Verification
For every decision:
- [ ] Decision — what should the user decide?
- [ ] Why — why does the system recommend this?
- [ ] Evidence — what observations support this?
- [ ] Confidence — how certain is the model? (observation, evidence, recommendation)
- [ ] Consequence — what happens if nothing is done?
- [ ] Action — what is the next step?
- [ ] Business Impact — what does this mean economically/operationally?
- [ ] Explainability — can the user click back to source material?
## Validation Scenarios
Before freezing Decision Model v1.0, validate against three real scenarios:
### Scenario 1: Road Crack
| Layer | Example |
|-------|---------|
| Reality | Mobile photo of road crack |
| Observation | "Crack detected, 15cm width" |
| Evidence | 3 observations of cracks in same area |
| Finding | "Road surface degraded 15% since last inspection" |
| Decision | "Prioritize inspection within 14 days" |
| Business Impact | Risk: High, Cost: $50k avoided, Time: 14 days, Opportunity: Plan with nearby works |
### Scenario 2: Damaged Facade
| Layer | Example |
|-------|---------|
| Reality | Drone video of building facade |
| Observation | "Facade panel loose, 30cm displacement" |
| Evidence | 2 observations + weather data |
| Finding | "Facade integrity compromised, risk of falling debris" |
| Decision | "Immediate safety inspection required" |
| Business Impact | Risk: Critical, Cost: $200k liability, Time: 24 hours, Opportunity: Prevent injury |
### Scenario 3: Broken Road Sign
| Layer | Example |
|-------|---------|
| Reality | Mobile photo of damaged sign |
| Observation | "Stop sign damaged, 50% visibility" |
| Evidence | 1 observation + traffic data |
| Finding | "Traffic control compromised at intersection" |
| Decision | "Replace sign within 48 hours" |
| Business Impact | Risk: Medium, Cost: $5k fine avoided, Time: 48 hours, Opportunity: Standard replacement |
**Pass criteria:** Same Decision Object works for all three without modification.
---
## Relationship to Dashboard
**Dashboard is not:** 120 widgets
**Dashboard is:** Decision Card visualization
```
Area Score
Top 3 Decisions
Map
Evidence
History
```
---
## ändringshistoria
| Version | Datum | Beskrivning |
|---------|-------|-------------|
| 1.0 | 2026-07-02 | Initial decision model with six layers, evidence-backed decisions, explainability, confidence model, validation scenarios |
---
## STATUS
**DRAFT — Awaiting validation against three scenarios**